NCAA Tournament March Madness

#165 Oregon St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Oregon State’s profile reads like a team with a few signature positives and a cluster of resume-smothering slips; the road victory at Arizona State and steady wins over mid-major opponents such as North Dakota State, North Texas, Vermont, Southern Utah and Montana State demonstrate it can win away from home and against solid competition, but the road loss at Oregon and the neutral-site setbacks to Evansville, Iona and Massachusetts plus home defeats to Cal Baptist and Sam Houston State are the kinds of blemishes a committee will weigh heavily. The Beavers still lack a marquee win over an upper-tier conference power and their remaining slate contains the high-leverage chances that will decide their fate, including trips to St. Mary’s and San Francisco, a home meeting with Gonzaga and key conference tests at Washington State and on the road; those outcomes will either repair the resume or confirm the current concerns, which is why their placement now reflects both the quality of the Arizona State road result and the damage done by the nonconference and home losses.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3N Dakota St150W67-65
11/7IL Chicago199W76-73
11/12North Texas141W66-64
11/17@Oregon74L87-75
11/21(N)Evansville274L73-69
11/22(N)Iona171L91-84
11/24(N)Massachusetts174L73-65
11/29Cal Baptist127L75-69
12/3Vermont184W80-58
12/6Southern Utah320W81-70
12/13Montana St170W67-57
12/17Sam Houston St118L85-75
12/21@Arizona St77W78-75
12/28Santa Clara8034%
12/30San Francisco9740%
1/2@Pacific12429%
1/4@Washington St15336%
1/8Seattle11145%
1/10@Portland22853%
1/14Loy Marymount12550%
1/17Pacific12450%
1/21@St Mary's CA337%
1/28@Loy Marymount12529%
1/31@San Diego23153%
2/4Washington St15358%
2/7Gonzaga44%
2/12@San Francisco9721%
2/14@Seattle11124%
2/15@Seattle11124%
2/21Pepperdine25076%
2/25San Diego23174%
2/28@Santa Clara8016%